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Supplied the scientific presentation of deaths and also the pace from symptom onset to Loss of life With this unusual cluster, existing differentials include things like a immediate onset bacterial meningitis cluster or a contamination by a chemical poisoning as important hypotheses within a context of substantial incidence of other prevalent infec
These facts are entered in the Estimation and Projection Offer (EPP) computer software which fits an easy epidemiological model to the epidemic structure defined. EPP finds the ideal fitting curve that describes the evolution of adult HIV prevalence as time passes, and calibrates that curve according to prevalence located in any countrywide surveys
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